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The Australian Bureau of Meteorology was the official provider of weather services for the 2000 Olympic and Paralympic Games in Sydney, Australia. The sailing events took place on Sydney Harbor and an offshore area adjacent to the harbor entrance. The forecasting of surface winds for the Sydney...
The problem of predicting the onset of damaging downburst winds from high-reflectivity storm cells that develop in an environment of weak vertical shear with Weather Surveillance Radar-1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) is examined. Ninety-one storm cells that produced damaging outflows are analyzed with...
Considerable daily variations of summer convective rainfall average areal coverage and rainfall amount were identified in west-central Florida for the period May–September 1997–2000 using a 29-site rainfall network. Pearson correlation coefficients identified the correlations to each from among...
Meteorologists often interpret the value of a probabilistic weather forecast using the binary cost–loss scenario. The socioeconomic benefit of such a forecast will depend on the compliance rate of users and, hence, the number of warnings that are not followed by the corresponding high-impact...
The large-scale forcing associated with 20 mesoscale convective system (MCS) events has been evaluated to determine how the magnitude of that forcing influences the rainfall forecasts made with a 10-km grid spacing version of the Eta Model. Different convective parameterizations and...
This paper seeks to address some of the limitations in previous statistical forecast models of tropical cyclogenesis through the development of a series of Poisson regression models on a 2° latitude × 5° longitude spatial grid and a monthly grid in time. The “Gray” parameters low-level relative...
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