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This paper reports on an assessment of quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs) issued by the Arkansas––Red Basin River Forecast Center during the period May––June 1995. Assessment procedures involved spatial statistical procedures applied to the QPFs and Stage III calibrated radar-rainfall...
A diagnostic evaluation of three project ANOMALIA case studies involving heavy precipitation in the western Mediterranean region has been carried out. The evaluation shows the unique characteristics of each event, as well as some limited similarities. Heavy precipitation events in the western...
A conceptual model for sustained low-level mesocyclones is tested as a tornado forecast tool with observations and forecasts from the operational Eta Model. In the conceptual model, a balance between low-level storm inflow and outflow allows the development of a persistent low-level mesocyclone...
A neural network is developed to diagnose which circulations detected by the National Severe Storms Laboratory’’s Mesocyclone Detection Algorithm yield damaging wind. In particular, 23 variables characterizing the circulations are selected to be used as the input nodes of a feed-forward,...
The standard method for estimating the intensity of tropical cyclones is based on satellite observations (Dvorak technique) and is utilized operationally by tropical analysis centers around the world. The technique relies on image pattern recognition along with analyst interpretation of...
The authors discuss the relationship between budget-cutting exercises and knowledge of the value of weather services. The complex interaction between quality (accuracy) and value of weather forecasts prevents theoretical approaches from contributing much to the discussion, except perhaps to...
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