Access the full text.
Sign up today, get DeepDyve free for 14 days.
Hanna Tietäväinen, H. Tuomenvirta, A. Venäläinen (2010)
Annual and seasonal mean temperatures in Finland during the last 160 years based on gridded temperature dataInternational Journal of Climatology, 30
C. Parmesan (2006)
Ecological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate ChangeAnnual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics, 37
T. Root, Jeff Price, K. Hall, S. Schneider, C. Rosenzweig, J. Pounds (2003)
Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plantsNature, 421
B Huntley, RE Green, YC Collingham, SG Willis (2007)
A Climatic Atlas of European Breeding BirdsOrnis Fennica
O Järvinen, RA Väisänen (1976b)
Estimating relative densities of breeding birds by the line transect method. IV. Geographical constancy of the proportion of main belt observationsTrends in Ecology & Evolution, 53
J. Rintala, J. Tiainen (2007)
Indexing long-term regional bird population dynamics with nestling ringing dataAnnales Zoologici Fennici, 44
O. Järvinen, R. Väisänen (2010)
Correction coefficients for line transect censuses of breeding birds
(1981)
Methodology for censusing land bird faunas in large regions
M. Clavero, D. Villero, L. Brotóns (2011)
Climate Change or Land Use Dynamics: Do We Know What Climate Change Indicators Indicate?PLoS ONE, 6
CD Thomas, AMA Franco, JK Hill (2006)
Range retractions and extinction in the face of climate warmingNature Conservation, 21
C. Thomas, J. Lennon (1999)
Birds extend their ranges northwardsNature, 399
W. Hagemeijer, M. Blair (1997)
The EBCC Atlas of European Breeding Birds
R. Hickling, D. Roy, J. Hill, R. Fox, C. Thomas (2006)
The distributions of a wide range of taxonomic groups are expanding polewardsGlobal Change Biology, 12
L. Beaumont, L. Hughes (2002)
Potential changes in the distributions of latitudinally restricted Australian butterfly species in response to climate changeGlobal Change Biology, 8
Raimo Virkkala, R. Heikkinen, S. Fronzek, H. Kujala, N. Leikola (2013)
Does the protected area network preserve bird species of conservation concern in a rapidly changing climate?Biodiversity and Conservation, 22
Morgane Barbet-Massin, W. Thuiller, F. Jiguet (2012)
The fate of European breeding birds under climate, land‐use and dispersal scenariosGlobal Change Biology, 18
B. Zuckerberg, A. Woods, W. Porter (2009)
Poleward shifts in breeding bird distributions in New York StateGlobal Change Biology, 15
WJM Hagemeijer, MJ Blair (1997)
The EBCC Atlas of European Breeding Birds: Their Distribution and AbundanceOrnis Scandinavica
Raimo Virkkala (1991)
Population trends of forest birds in a Finnish Lapland landscape of large habitat blocks: Consequences of stochastic environmental variation or regional habitat alteration?Biological Conservation, 56
W Thuiller, S Lavorel, MB Araújo, MT Sykes, IC Prentice (2005)
Climate change threats to plant diversity in EuropeBiological Conservation, 102
R. Gregory, S. Willis, F. Jiguet, P. Voříšek, A. Klvaňová, A. Strien, B. Huntley, Yvonne Collingham, D. Couvet, R. Green (2009)
An Indicator of the Impact of Climatic Change on European Bird PopulationsPLoS ONE, 4
MB Araújo, W Thuiller, RG Pearson (2006)
Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in EuropeGlobal Change Biology, 33
C. Thomas, A. Cameron, R. Green, R. Green, M. Bakkenes, L. Beaumont, Yvonne Collingham, B. Erasmus, Marinez Siqueira, A. Grainger, L. Hannah, L. Hughes, B. Huntley, A. Jaarsveld, G. Midgley, L. Miles, L. Miles, M. Ortega-Huerta, A. Peterson, O. Phillips, S. Williams (2004)
Extinction risk from climate changeNature, 427
J. Christensen, B. Hewitson, A. Busuioc, A. Chen, Xuejie Gao, R. Held, Roger Jones, R. Kolli, W. Kwon, R. Laprise, V. Rueda, L. Mearns, C. Menéndez, J. Räisänen, A. Rinke, A. Sarr, P. Whetton, R. Arritt, R. Benestad, M. Beniston, D. Bromwich, D. Caya, J. Comiso, R. Elía, K. Dethloff (2007)
Regional climate projections
A. Kelly, M. Goulden (2008)
Rapid shifts in plant distribution with recent climate changeProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 105
A. Lehikoinen (2013)
Climate change, phenology and species detectability in a monitoring schemePopulation Ecology, 55
B Collen, J Loh, S Whitmee, L McRae, R Amin, JEM Baillie (2009)
Monitoring change in vertebrate abundance: the Living Planet IndexGlobal Change Biology, 23
C. Parmesan, G. Yohe (2003)
A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systemsNature, 421
W. Thuiller, S. Lavorel, M. Araújo, M. Sykes, I. Prentice (2005)
Climate change threats to plant diversity in Europe.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 102 23
Raimo Virkkala, A. Rajasärkkä (2007)
Uneven regional distribution of protected areas in Finland: Consequences for boreal forest bird populationsBiological Conservation, 134
T. Laaksonen, A. Lehikoinen (2013)
Population trends in boreal birds: Continuing declines in agricultural, northern, and long-distance migrant speciesBiological Conservation, 168
R Ohlemüller, ES Gritti, MT Sykes, CD Thomas (2006)
Quantifying components of risk for European woody species under climate changeAnnales Zoologici Fennici, 12
D. Chamberlain, R. Fuller (2001)
Contrasting patterns of change in the distribution and abundance of farmland birds in relation to farming system in lowland BritainGlobal Ecology and Biogeography, 10
C. Thomas, A. Franco, J. Hill (2006)
Range retractions and extinction in the face of climate warming.Trends in ecology & evolution, 21 8
T Laaksonen, A Lehikoinen (2013)
Population trends in boreal birds: continuing declines in agricultural, northern, and long‐distance migrant speciesAnnual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics, 168
A Johnston, M Ausden, AM Dodd (2013)
Observed and predicted effects of climate change on species abundance in protected areasBiological Conservation, 3
G. Breed, S. Stichter, E. Crone (2013)
Climate-driven changes in northeastern US butterfly communitiesNature Climate Change, 3
Raimo Virkkala, R. Heikkinen, N. Leikola, M. Luoto (2008)
Projected large-scale range reductions of northern-boreal land bird species due to climate changeBiological Conservation, 141
F. Sanderson, P. Donald, D. Pain, I. Burfield, F. Bommel (2006)
Long-term population declines in Afro-Palearctic migrant birdsBiological Conservation, 131
O. Järvinen, R. Väisänen (1975)
Estimating relative densities of breeding birds by the line transect methodOikos, 26
H. Kujala, Ville Vepsäläinen, B. Zuckerberg, J. Brommer (2013)
Range margin shifts of birds revisited – the role of spatiotemporally varying survey effortGlobal Change Biology, 19
I. Burfield, F. Bommel (2004)
Birds in Europe : population estimates, trends and conservation status
Jo Lutmerding (2013)
The Finnish Bird Ringing Atlas, vol. 1, 130
B Huntley, YC Collingham, SG Willis, RE Green (2008)
Potential impacts of climate change on European breeding birdsOrnis Fennica, 3
C. Thomas (2010)
Climate, climate change and range boundariesDiversity and Distributions, 16
F. Sorte, F. Thompson (2007)
Poleward shifts in winter ranges of North American birds.Ecology, 88 7
S. Solomon (2007)
The Physical Science Basis : Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 996
C Bellard, C Bertelsmeier, P Leadley, W Thuiller, F Courchamp (2012)
Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversityNature Climate Change, 15
A. Johnston, M. Ausden, Andrew Dodd, R. Bradbury, D. Chamberlain, F. Jiguet, Christopher Thomas, A. Cook, S. Newson, N. Ockendon, M. Rehfisch, Staffan Roos, C. Thaxter, Andy Brown, H. Crick, A. Douse, Robert Mccall, H. Pontier, D. Stroud, B. Cadiou, O. Crowe, B. Deceuninck, Menno Hornman, J. Pearce‐Higgins (2013)
Observed and predicted effects of climate change on species abundance in protected areasNature Climate Change, 3
B. Collen, J. Loh, Sarah Whitmee, L. McRae, R. Amin, J. Baillie (2009)
Monitoring Change in Vertebrate Abundance: the Living Planet IndexConservation Biology, 23
JH Christensen, B Hewitson, A Busuioc (2007)
Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate ChangePLoS ONE
L Beaumont, L Hughes (2002)
Potential changes in the distributions of latitudinally restricted Australian butterfly species in response to climate changeEcology Letters, 8
AE Kelly, ML Goulden (2008)
Rapid shifts in plant distribution with recent climate changeJournal of Avian Biology, 105
C. Bellard, C. Bertelsmeier, P. Leadley, W. Thuiller, F. Courchamp (2012)
Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity.Ecology letters, 15 4
H Tietäväinen, H Tuomenvirta, A Venäläinen (2010)
Annual and seasonal mean temperatures in Finland during the last years based on gridded temperature dataActa Oecologica, 30
I-Ching Chen, Jane Hill, Ralf Ohlemüller, David Roy, Chris Thomas (2011)
Rapid Range Shifts of Species Associated with High Levels of Climate WarmingScience, 333
Raimo Virkkala, Mathieu Marmion, R. Heikkinen, W. Thuiller, M. Luoto (2010)
Predicting range shifts of northern bird species: Influence of modelling technique and topographyActa Oecologica-international Journal of Ecology, 36
P Saurola, J Valkama, W Velmala (2013)
The Finnish bird ringing atlasAnnales Zoologici Fennici
AS Jump, C Matyas, J Penuelas (2009)
The altitude‐for‐latitude disparity in the range retractions of woody speciesPopulation Ecology, 24
K. Jylhä, H. Tuomenvirta, Kimmo Ruosteenoja (2004)
Climate change projections for Finland during the 21st centuryBoreal Environment Research, 9
A Lehikoinen, M Green, M Husby, JA Kålås, Å Lindström (2013)
Common montane birds are declining in northern EuropeOrnis Fennica, 45
B. Huntley, Yvonne Collingham, S. Willis, R. Green (2008)
Potential Impacts of Climatic Change on European Breeding BirdsPLoS ONE, 3
B. Huntley, P. Barnard, R. Altwegg, L. Chambers, B. Coetzee, L. Gibson, P. Hockey, D. Hole, G. Midgley, L. Underhill, S. Willis (2010)
Beyond bioclimatic envelopes: dynamic species' range and abundance modelling in the context of climatic changeEcography, 33
DE Chamberlain, RJ Fuller (2001)
Contrasting patterns of change in the distribution and abundance of farmland birds in relation to farming system in lowland BritainPLoS ONE, 10
Raimo Virkkala, A. Rajasärkkä (2011)
northward density shift of bird species in boreal protected areas due to climate change
(1998)
Distribution, Numbers and Population Changes of Finnish Breeding Birds (In Finnish with an English summary)
O. Jarvinen (1976)
Estimating Relative Densities of Breeding Birds by the Line Transect Method. II. Comparison between Two MethodsOrnis scandinavica, 7
O Järvinen, P Koskimies, RA Väisänen (1991)
Monitoring Bird Populations: A Manual of Methods Applied in FinlandGlobal Change Biology
J. Brommer, A. Lehikoinen, J. Valkama (2012)
The Breeding Ranges of Central European and Arctic Bird Species Move PolewardPLoS ONE, 7
R. Ohlemüller, Emmanuel Gritti, M. Sykes, C. Thomas (2006)
Quantifying components of risk for European woody species under climate changeGlobal Change Biology, 12
(1991)
Line transect census of breeding land birds
(1983)
Succession of land bird communities on large areas of peatlands drained for forestry
(1976)
Finnish line transect censuses
GA Breed, S Stichter, EE Crone (2013)
Climate‐driven changes in northeastern US butterfly communitiesGlobal Ecology and Biogeography, 3
FJ Sanderson, PF Donald, DJ Pain, IJ Burfield, FPJ Bommel (2006)
Long‐term population declines in Afro‐Palearctic migrant birdsInternational Journal of Climatology, 131
CD Thomas (2010)
Climate, climate change and range boundariesBiological Conservation, 16
Sarah Eglington, J. Pearce‐Higgins (2012)
Disentangling the Relative Importance of Changes in Climate and Land-Use Intensity in Driving Recent Bird Population TrendsPLoS ONE, 7
A. Renwick, D. Massimino, S. Newson, D. Chamberlain, J. Pearce‐Higgins, A. Johnston (2012)
Modelling changes in species’ abundance in response to projected climate changeDiversity and Distributions, 18
M. Araújo, W. Thuiller, R. Pearson (2006)
Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in EuropeJournal of Biogeography, 33
A. Lehikoinen, Martin Green, M. Husby, J. Kålås, Å. Lindström (2014)
Common montane birds are declining in northern EuropeJournal of Avian Biology, 45
W. Jetz, D. Wilcove, A. Dobson (2007)
Projected Impacts of Climate and Land-Use Change on the Global Diversity of BirdsPLoS Biology, 5
H. Pereira, P. Leadley, V. Proença, R. Alkemade, J. Scharlemann, J. Fernández-Manjarrés, M. Araújo, M. Araújo, P. Balvanera, R. Biggs, W. Cheung, L. Chini, H. Cooper, E. Gilman, S. Guénette, G. Hurtt, G. Hurtt, Henry Huntington, G. Mace, T. Oberdorff, C. Revenga, Patrícia Rodrigues, R. Scholes, U. Sumaila, M. Walpole (2010)
Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st CenturyScience, 330
Å. Lindström, Martin Green, G. Paulson, Henrik Smith, V. Devictor (2013)
Rapid changes in bird community composition at multiple temporal and spatial scales in response to recent climate changeEcography, 36
Mari Pohja-Mykrä, T. Vuorisalo, S. Mykrä (2012)
Organized persecution of birds of prey in Finland: historical and population biological perspectives
A. Lehikoinen, P. Byholm, E. Ranta, P. Saurola, J. Valkama, E. Korpimäki, H. Pietiäinen, H. Henttonen (2009)
Reproduction of the common buzzard at its northern range margin under climatic changeOikos, 118
Raimo Virkkala, A. Rajasärkkä (2012)
Preserving species populations in the boreal zone in a changing climate: contrasting trends of bird species groups in a protected area networkNature and Conservation, 3
A. Jump, C. Mátyás, J. Peñuelas (2009)
The altitude-for-latitude disparity in the range retractions of woody species.Trends in ecology & evolution, 24 12
C. Symon, Lelani Arris, B. Heal, Assesment Team (2005)
Arctic climate impact assessment
J. Rintala, J. Tiainen (2008)
A model incorporating a reduction in carrying capacity translates brood size trends into a population decline: the case of Finnish starlings, 1951–2005Oikos, 117
Climate change has been shown to cause poleward range shifts of species. These shifts are typically demonstrated using presence–absence data, which can mask the potential changes in the abundance of species. Moreover, changes in the mean centre of weighted density of species are seldom examined, and comparisons between these two methods are even rarer. Here, we studied the change in the mean weighted latitude of density (MWLD) of 94 bird species in Finland, northern Europe, using data covering a north–south gradient of over 1000 km from the 1970s to the 2010s. The MWLD shifted northward on average 1.26 km yr−1, and this shift was significantly stronger in northern species compared to southern species. These shifts can be related to climate warming during the study period, because the annual temperature had increased more in northern Finland (by 1.7 °C) than in southern Finland (by 1.4 °C), although direct causal links cannot be shown. Density shifts of species distributed over the whole country did not differ from shifts in species situated on the edge of the species range in southern and northern species. This means that density shifts occur both in the core and on the edge of species distribution. The species‐specific comparison of MWLD values with corresponding changes in the mean weighted latitude using presence–absence atlas data (MWL) revealed that the MWLD moved more slowly than the MWL in the atlas data in the southern species examined, but more rapidly in the northern species. Our findings highlight that population densities are also moving rapidly towards the poles and the use of presence–absence data can mask the shift of population densities. We encourage use of abundance data in studies considering the effects of climate change on biodiversity.
Global Change Biology – Wiley
Published: Oct 1, 2014
Keywords: ; ; ; ; ; ;
Read and print from thousands of top scholarly journals.
Already have an account? Log in
Bookmark this article. You can see your Bookmarks on your DeepDyve Library.
To save an article, log in first, or sign up for a DeepDyve account if you don’t already have one.
Copy and paste the desired citation format or use the link below to download a file formatted for EndNote
Access the full text.
Sign up today, get DeepDyve free for 14 days.
All DeepDyve websites use cookies to improve your online experience. They were placed on your computer when you launched this website. You can change your cookie settings through your browser.