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M. Lurie, S. Rosenthal (2010)
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AIDS Behav (2010) 14:29–30 DOI 10.1007/s10461-009-9627-x COMMENTARY The Mathematics of Concurrent Partnerships and HIV: A Commentary on Lurie and Rosenthal, 2009 Helen Epstein Published online: 29 October 2009 Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2009 In their commentary ‘‘Concurrent Partnerships as a Driver 6–7 months, rather than the 10 years observed in Uganda of the HIV Epidemic in Sub-Saharan Africa? The Evidence [5]. Increasing partnership duration would affect both is Limited’’ [1] Mark Lurie and Samantha Rosenthal call monogamous and concurrent partnerships—and by trap- for more research on the role sexual partnership concur- ping infection for longer times in monogamous pairings, rency may play in the spread of sexually transmitted this would likely increase, rather than decrease, the effect infections. Unfortunately this very sensible recommenda- of concurrency. tion is undermined by a number of errors, beginning with While the transmission rates used by Morris and the first sentence. Kretzchmar are high, this does not affect the comparison Evidence for the concurrency hypothesis rests on three between concurrency and serial monogamy, since both bodies of research: would be affected by changes in the transmission rate. What would make a difference is the early peak in infec- 1) Empirical studies of the prevalence
AIDS and Behavior – Springer Journals
Published: Oct 29, 2009
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