The Myth o the Electronic Cottage* Tom Forester Lecturer in the School of Computing and Information Technology Griffith University Nathan 4111 Queensland Australia * This paper was first published in Futures, the Journal of Forecasting and Planning, in Volume 20, Number 3, June 1988 . Further information can be obtained from Butterworth Scientific Ltd., PO Box 63, Guildford GU2 5BH, UK. An enduring theme in the literature on the impact ofcomputers on society has been the prediction ofa big increase in home-based activities . This article reviews the evidence on participation across a range of home-based activities and discusses why home working, home banking, home shopping and home information services have not taken offas many theorists predicted . Drawing on case studies and personal experiences, the author argues that writers have consistently underestimated the psychological problems ofworking at home, and consumers have by and large notfound new ITbased services to be cheaper, usable or useful nor do theyfulfill their psychological needs. For these and other reasons, he concludes that any increase in home-based activity is like to be gradual and that the vast majority of homes will not become thefocus of new economic activity. For 20 years or
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