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SUPERCOMPUTING: BIG BANG OR STEADY STATE GROWTH? J.R. Gurd Keynote Address 7th International Conference on Supercomputing, ICS'93, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan INTRODUCTION My title is intended to give the impression of an investigation of the 'cosmology' of supercomputing. I wanted to reflect on the past and future progress of the field, particularly in the light of its high public profile, and attendant pressure for rapid advances. This desire was prompted by the challenging keynote address at ICS'92, delivered by David Kuck. Basically, Kuck was questioning the view, presented in the 'Blue Book' that launched the High Performance Computing and Communications (HPCC) research and development program [1], that some form of dramatic change in computing practice is going to facilitate an advance from the current state-ofthe-art in supercomputing performance (i.e. of order 1 Gflop/s execution rate, 1 Gbyte main memory, 1 Gbyte/s interconnection bandwidth) to the magical '3 T's' (1 Tflop/s, 1 Tbyte, 1 Tbyte/s) via a combination of scalable, massively parallel hardware, plus appropriate applications and software. This advance is clearly presented in the 'Blue Book' as a revolutionary change, moving from the historical, electronic technology driven 'curve' to a new, Massively Parallel Processing 'curve' with greater slope.

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Supercomputing: big bang or steady state growth?

Gurd, J. R.
ACM SIGARCH Computer Architecture News , Volume 22 (3)
Association for Computing MachineryJun 1, 1994

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