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On the Emergence of Highly Variable Distributions in the Autonomous System Topology Marwan Fayed, Paul Krapivsky, John W. Byers, Mark Crovella, David Finkel, Sid Redner — Recent studies observe that vertex degree in the autonomous system (AS) graph exhibits a highly variable distribution [14, 21]. The most prominent explanatory model for this phenomenon is the Barab si-Albert (B-A) model [5, 2]. A cena tral feature of the B-A model is preferential connectivity ” meaning that the likelihood a new node in a growing graph will connect to an existing node is proportional to the existing node ™s degree. In this paper we ask whether a more general explanation than the B-A model, and absent the assumption of preferential connectivity, is consistent with empirical data. We are motivated by two observations: rst, AS degree and AS size are highly correlated [10]; and second, highly variable AS size can arise simply through exponential growth. We construct a model incorporating exponential growth in the size of the Internet and in the number of ASes, and show that it yields a size distribution exhibiting a power-law tail. In such a model, if an AS ™s link formation is roughly proportional to its

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