Access the full text.
Sign up today, get DeepDyve free for 14 days.
J. Kain, S. Weiss, D. Bright, M. Baldwin, J. Levit, Gregory Carbin, C. Schwartz, M. Weisman, K. Droegemeier, D. Weber, K. Thomas (2008)
Some Practical Considerations Regarding Horizontal Resolution in the First Generation of Operational Convection-Allowing NWPWeather and Forecasting, 23
Bazile (2009)
dphase_aladfr: ALADIN-France operational model forecasts run by Meteo-France for the MAP D-PHASE project.
C. Schwartz, J. Kain, S. Weiss, M. Xue, D. Bright, F. Kong, K. Thomas, J. Levit, M. Coniglio (2009)
Next-Day Convection-Allowing WRF Model Guidance: A Second Look at 2-km versus 4-km Grid SpacingMonthly Weather Review, 137
Wulfmeyer (2008)
The convective and orographically induced precipitation study: A research and development project of the World Weather Research Program for improving quantitative precipitation forecasting in low-mountain regions.Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89
V. Wulfmeyer, A. Behrendt, H. Bauer, C. Kottmeier, U. Corsmeier, A. Blyth, G. Craig, U. Schumann, M. Hagen, S. Crewell, P. Girolamo, C. Flamant, M. Miller, A. Montani, S. Mobbs, E. Richard, M. Rotach, M. Arpagaus, H. Russchenberg, P. Schlüssel, M. König, V. Gärtner, R. Steinacker, M. Dorninger, D. Turner, T. Weckwerth, A. Hense, C. Simmer (2008)
RESEARCH CAMPAIGN: The Convective and Orographically Induced Precipitation Study, 89
U. Germann, G. Galli, M. Boscacci, M. Bolliger (2006)
Radar precipitation measurement in a mountainous regionQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 132
Ament (2009)
dphase_cosmoch7: COSMO model forecasts (7 km) run by MeteoSwiss for the MAP D-PHASE project.
(2009)
dphase_aladfr: ALADIN-France operational model forecasts run by Meteo-France for the MAP D-PHASE project. World Data Center for Climate, doi:10.1594/WDCC/dphase_ aladfr
Schmutz (2008)
Meteorologische Ereignisanalyse des Hochwassers 8. bis 9. August 2007.
Jesus Zepeda‐Arce, E. Foufoula‐Georgiou, K. Droegemeier (2000)
Space‐time rainfall organization and its role in validating quantitative precipitation forecastsJournal of Geophysical Research, 105
D. Boos (2003)
Introduction to the Bootstrap WorldStatistical Science, 18
Schulz (2009)
dphase_lme: LME (COSMO-EU) model forecasts run by DWD for the MAP D-PHASE project.
N. Roberts, H. Lean (2008)
Scale-Selective Verification of Rainfall Accumulations from High-Resolution Forecasts of Convective EventsMonthly Weather Review, 136
M. Weisman, C. Davis, Wei Wang, Kevin Manning, J. Klemp (2008)
Experiences with 0–36-h Explicit Convective Forecasts with the WRF-ARW ModelWeather and Forecasting, 23
(2007)
Meteorologische Ereignisanalyse des Hochwassers 8. bis 9
Seity (2009)
dphase_arome: AROME +30hours forecasts run by Meteo-France CNRM/GAME for the MAP D-PHASE project.
(2009)
: dphase _ lmk : LMK ( COSMO - DE ) high resolution model forecasts run by DWD for the MAP D - PHASE project
C. Keil, G. Craig (2009)
A Displacement and Amplitude Score Employing an Optical Flow TechniqueWeather and Forecasting, 24
E. Ebert (2009)
Neighborhood Verification: A Strategy for Rewarding Close ForecastsWeather and Forecasting, 24
M. Zappa, M. Rotach, M. Arpagaus, M. Dorninger, C. Hegg, A. Montani, R. Ranzi, F. Ament, U. Germann, G. Grossi, S. Jaun, A. Rossa, S. Vogt, Andre Walser, Johannes Wehrhan, C. Wunram (2008)
MAP D‐PHASE: real‐time demonstration of hydrological ensemble prediction systemsAtmospheric Science Letters, 9
E. Ebert (2008)
Fuzzy verification of high‐resolution gridded forecasts: a review and proposed frameworkMeteorological Applications, 15
M. Mittermaier, N. Roberts (2010)
Intercomparison of Spatial Forecast Verification Methods: Identifying Skillful Spatial Scales Using the Fractions Skill ScoreWeather and Forecasting, 25
M. Arpagaus, Rotach Mw, M. Rotach, P. Ambrosetti, F. Ament, C. Appenzeller, H. Bauer, Bauer Hs, A. Behrendt, F. Bouttier, A. Buzzi, M. Corazza, S. Davolio, M. Denhard, M. Dorninger, Lionel Fontannaz, J. Frick, F. Fundel, U. Germann, T. Gorgas, G. Grossi, C. Hegg, A. Hering, S. Jaun, C. Keil, Liniger, Liniger Ma, C. Marsigli, R. McTaggart‐Cowan, A. Montani, K. Mylne, L. Panziera, R. Ranzi, E. Richard, A. Rossa, D. Santos-Muñoz, C. Schär, Y. Seity, M. Staudinger, Marco Stoll, S. Vogt, H. Volkert, Andre Walser, Yong Wang, J. Werhahn, V. Wulfmeyer, C. Wunram, M. Zappa (2009)
MAP D-PHASE: Demonstrating forecast capabilities for flood events in the Alpine region.
H. Mann, D. Whitney (1947)
On a Test of Whether one of Two Random Variables is Stochastically Larger than the OtherAnnals of Mathematical Statistics, 18
H. Lean, P. Clark, M. Dixon, N. Roberts, A. Fitch, R. Forbes, Carol Halliwell (2008)
Characteristics of high-resolution versions of the Met Office unified model for forecasting convection over the United KingdomMonthly Weather Review, 136
H. Wernli, M. Paulat, M. Hagen, C. Frei (2008)
SAL—A Novel Quality Measure for the Verification of Quantitative Precipitation ForecastsMonthly Weather Review, 136
S. Theis, A. Hense, U. Damrath (2005)
Probabilistic precipitation forecasts from a deterministic model: a pragmatic approachMeteorological Applications, 12
(2009)
Denhard, 2009: dphase_lme: LME (COSMO
F. Ament, T. Weusthoff, M. Arpagaus (2011)
Evaluation of MAP D-PHASE heavy precipitation alerts in Switzerland during summer 2007Atmospheric Research, 100
M. Rotach, P. Ambrosetti, F. Ament, C. Appenzeller, M. Arpagaus, H. Bauer, A. Behrendt, F. Bouttier, A. Buzzi, M. Corazza, S. Davolio, M. Denhard, M. Dorninger, Lionel Fontannaz, J. Frick, F. Fundel, U. Germann, T. Gorgas, C. Hegg, A. Hering, C. Keil, M. Liniger, C. Marsigli, R. McTaggart‐Cowan, Andrea Montaini, K. Mylne, R. Ranzi, E. Richard, A. Rossa, D. Santos-Muñoz, C. Schär, Y. Seity, M. Staudinger, Marco Stoll, H. Volkert, Andre Walser, Yong Wang, J. Werhahn, V. Wulfmeyer, M. Zappa (2009)
MAP D-PHASE: Real-Time Demonstration of Weather Forecast Quality in the Alpine regionBulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90
S. Vasić, C. Lin, I. Zawadzki, O. Bousquet, D. Chaumont (2007)
Evaluation of Precipitation from Numerical Weather Prediction Models and Satellites Using Values Retrieved from RadarsMonthly Weather Review, 135
A. Clark, W. Gallus, Tsing‐Chang Chen (2007)
Comparison of the Diurnal Precipitation Cycle in Convection-Resolving and Non-Convection-Resolving Mesoscale ModelsMonthly Weather Review, 135
P. Bougeault, P. Binder, A. Buzzi, R. Dirks, R. Houze, J. Kuettner, Ronald Smith, R. Steinacker, H. Volkert (2001)
The MAP special observing periodBulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 82
C. Hohenegger, C. Schär (2007)
Atmospheric Predictability at Synoptic Versus Cloud-Resolving ScalesBulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 88
High-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) models produce more detailed precipitation structures but the real benefit is probably the more realistic statistics gained with the higher resolution and not the information on the specific grid point. By evaluating three model pairs, each consisting of a high-resolution NWP system resolving convection explicitly and its low-resolution-driving model with parameterized convection, on different spatial scales and for different thresholds, this paper addresses the question of whether high-resolution models really perform better than their driving lower-resolution counterparts. The model pairs are evaluated by means of two fuzzy verification methods—upscaling (UP) and fractions skill score (FSS)—for the 6 months of the D-PHASE Operations Period and in a highly complex terrain. Observations are provided by the Swiss radar composite and the evaluation is restricted to the area covered by the Swiss radar stations. The high-resolution models outperform or equal the performance of their respective lower-resolution driving models. The differences between the models are significant and robust against small changes in the verification settings. An evaluation based on individual months shows that high-resolution models give better results, particularly with regard to convective, more localized precipitation events.
Monthly Weather Review – American Meteorological Society
Published: Feb 10, 2010
Read and print from thousands of top scholarly journals.
Already have an account? Log in
Bookmark this article. You can see your Bookmarks on your DeepDyve Library.
To save an article, log in first, or sign up for a DeepDyve account if you don’t already have one.
Copy and paste the desired citation format or use the link below to download a file formatted for EndNote
Access the full text.
Sign up today, get DeepDyve free for 14 days.
All DeepDyve websites use cookies to improve your online experience. They were placed on your computer when you launched this website. You can change your cookie settings through your browser.